How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? — Greater than 8

18% chance

Yes18%

Buy Yes23¢24¢ after fees

No82%

Buy No87¢88¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $69.1K
24h: $188
Liquidity: $2.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes18%—23¢

23¢24¢ after fees

No82%—87¢

87¢88¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 23¢: exit costs ~0.89¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve based on the total number of tropical cyclones recorded making landfall in China during the calendar year 2026 as published on the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Tropical Cyclone Data Center "Landfalling TCs" page (https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html) in the annual Best Track Dataset update for 2026. All landfalling tropical cyclones listed by the CMA on that page count t…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027