Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? — December 31, 2026

3% chance

Yes3%

Buy Yes3¢3¢ after fees

No97%

Buy No98¢98¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $2.5M
24h: $1.0K
Liquidity: $114.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes3%—3¢

3¢3¢ after fees

No97%—98¢

98¢98¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0.11¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution sour…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026