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    Fed Decision in June?

    Resolves Jun 17, 2026
    Total Volume

    $52.9M

    +$1.3M (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    98¢

    No change

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    1
    No change
    		98¢98¢
    $9.1M+$326.1K 24h
    		——
    2
    25 bps decrease
    		1¢1¢
    $9.8M+$282.2K 24h
    		——
    3
    25 bps increase
    		1¢1¢
    $8.8M+$105.5K 24h
    		——
    4
    50+ bps decrease
    		0¢1¢
    $12.9M+$138.8K 24h
    		——
    5
    50+ bps increase
    		0¢0¢
    $12.3M+$487.8K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No change
    98%
    98¢—
    225 bps decrease
    1¢—
    325 bps increase
    1¢—
    450+ bps decrease
    0¢—
    550+ bps increase
    0¢—

    Price History

    No change
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2992.2%94.2%96.2%100.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Economics

    Fed Decision in June Odds: No change at 98%, Is It Settled? | Live Odds

    1 minPrediction Circle
    Economics

    Fed's Jefferson says monetary policy is well positioned to respond, not prejudge June meet | investingLive

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Fed seen holding rates steady not hiking under Warsh - TheStreet

    1 minDana Sullivan Kilroy
    Economics

    Will the Fed Hike or Cut Rates in June | Kalshi vs. Polymarket Data

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Will four or more people dissent the June Fed d… 98% No · Polymarket

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 17, 2026

    ~15 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $52.9M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $69K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 4 days ago

    Mega

    sold $53K No on 50+ bps decrease

    polymarket · 12 days ago

    Whale

    bought $48K Yes on No change

    polymarket · about 23 hours ago

    Whale

    bought $48K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 16 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      50+ bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      25 bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      50+ bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      25 bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 10:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      25 bps decrease · Polymarket

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