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    LIVE
    8s

    Fed decision in Jun 2026?

    Resolves Jun 17, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.7M

    +$34.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    97¢

    Fed maintains rate

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    1
    —
    Fed maintains rate
    		97¢97¢
    $3.4M+$17.6K 24h
    		——
    2
    —
    Cut 25bps
    		3¢3¢
    $3.7M+$8.1K 24h
    		——
    3
    —
    Hike 25bps
    		2¢2¢
    $3.3M+$695 24h
    		——
    4
    —
    Cut >25bps
    		1¢1¢
    $2.3M+$8.2K 24h
    		——
    5
    —
    Hike >25bps
    		1¢1¢
    $1.0M
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Fed maintains rate
    97%
    97¢—
    2Cut 25bps
    3¢—
    3Hike 25bps
    2¢—
    4Cut >25bps
    1¢—
    5Hike >25bps
    1¢—

    Price History

    Fed maintains rate
    May 26 11:58May 27 14:57May 28 17:59May 29 20:59May 30 23:57Jun 1 02:38Jun 2 08:1891.0%94.0%97.0%100.0%

    Related reading

    External
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    Fed decision in Jun 2026 Prediction Market Forecast | Octagon AI

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    Fed Rate Decision June 2026: A Hawkish Pause Signals Longer Fight Against Inflation | Unpacked

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Federal Reserve Board - Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, April 28-29, 2026

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 17, 2026

    ~16 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.7M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $119K Yes on Fed maintains rate

    kalshi · 6 days ago

    Whale

    bought $49K Yes on Fed maintains rate

    kalshi · 3 days ago

    Whale

    bought $48K Yes on Fed maintains rate

    kalshi · 6 days ago

    Whale

    sold $24K No on Cut 25bps

    kalshi · about 12 hours ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 31, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Cut >25bps · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 30, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Cut >25bps · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 30, 10:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Cut >25bps · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 30, 9:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Cut >25bps · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 30, 8:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Cut >25bps · Kalshi

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