Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    Fed Decision in July?

    Resolves Jul 29, 2026
    Total Volume

    $7.2M

    +$85.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    93¢

    No change

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    1
    No change📈 Trending
    		93¢93¢
    $923.4K+$25.0K 24h
    		——
    2
    25 bps increase
    		5¢5¢
    $3.7M+$23.1K 24h
    		——
    3
    25 bps decrease
    		2¢2¢
    $720.3K+$8.5K 24h
    		——
    4
    50+ bps decrease
    		1¢1¢
    $920.9K+$15.9K 24h
    		——
    5
    50+ bps increase
    		0¢0¢
    $897.1K+$12.7K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No change
    93%
    93¢—
    225 bps increase
    5¢—
    325 bps decrease
    2¢—
    450+ bps decrease
    1¢—
    550+ bps increase
    0¢—

    Price History

    No change
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2985.5%88.5%91.5%94.5%97.5%

    Related reading

    External
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    Fed decisions (Apr-Jul) Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarket

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    The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.4%, and in July it is 93% | WEEX Crypto News

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    Fed Rate Hike Risk Surges to 70% — What It Means in 2026

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    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 29, 2026

    ~57 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.2M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    bought $23K Yes on No change

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    Whale

    sold $14K Yes on No change

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    Whale

    bought $12K Yes on No change

    polymarket · about 22 hours ago

    Whale

    bought $11K Yes on No change

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.5% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.5% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.5% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 4:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.5% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 3:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.5% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

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