50+ bps increase

    Volume

    $18.4M

    $392.0K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jun 17, 2026

    ~6 days left

    Category

    Economics

    CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $18.4M
    $392.0K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    Jun 4 16:00Jun 5 18:00Jun 6 20:00Jun 7 22:00Jun 9 00:00Jun 10 03:00Jun 11 10:55

    About This Market

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    How This Resolves

    PolymarketPolymarket

    Source: Official government data releases

    Rule: Resolves based on the official data release from the designated government agency.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 0¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jun 17, 2026
    Time Left6 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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