Geopolitics

    Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?

    10+ leads by 16 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. 10+#128%
    2. 20+#212%
    3. 30+#37%
    #4 40+5%#5 50+3%
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $16.6K
    24h
    $1.4K
    Candidates
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 10+28%
    • 20+12%
    • 30+7%
    • 40+5%
    • 50+3%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. 50+24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    10+$7.4K vol28%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US29¢no fee
    20+$2.4K vol12%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢no fee
    30+$2.9K vol7%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee
    40+$2.5K vol5%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    50+$1.4K vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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