Geopolitics

    Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?

    March 31, 2027 leads by 38 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. March 31, 2027#153%
    2. December 31#215%
    3. November 30#37%
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $99.9K
    24h
    $624
    Candidates
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • March 31, 202753%
    • December 3115%
    • November 307%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    March 31, 2027$17.3K vol53%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US54¢no fee
    December 31$39.6K vol15%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢no fee
    November 30$11.1K vol7%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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