Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...? — November 30

7% chance

Yes7%

Buy Yes8¢no fee

No93%

Buy No95¢no fee

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $11.1K
24h: $349
Liquidity: $5.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes7%—8¢

8¢no fee

No93%—95¢

95¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building at 48.538085° N, 37.688345° E in Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the buildings grey area is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026