Trump

    Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

    No other person leads by 7 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. No other person#130%
    2. Dan Sullivan#223%
    3. Dan Driscoll#312%
    #4 Ron DeSantis8%#5 Steve Feinberg4%+14 more
    Resolves
    Jan 20, 2029
    Volume
    $69.0K
    24h
    $3.0K
    Candidates
    19
    kalshi1 venue · 19 markets

    Who’s winning

    • No other person30%
    • Dan Sullivan23%
    • Dan Driscoll12%
    • Ron DeSantis8%
    • Steve Feinberg4%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Dan Driscoll24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. No other person24h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Dan Sullivan24h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    No other person$20.2K vol30%▲ 4kalshi30¢32¢ after fees
    Dan Sullivan$4.8K vol23%▲ 4kalshi27¢29¢ after fees
    Dan Driscoll$7.1K vol12%▼ 9kalshi14¢15¢ after fees
    Ron DeSantis$17.2K vol8%▼ 2kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Steve Feinberg$1.4K vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Daniel Zimmerman$0 vol3%—kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Joni Ernst$1.1K vol3%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Mike Rogers$1.7K vol1%▼ 2kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Elbridge Colby$2.2K vol1%▼ 2kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Mike Pompeo$2.1K vol1%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 20, 2029
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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