Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Mike Rogers

1% chance

Yes1%

Buy Yes3¢4¢ after fees

No99%—

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes1%—3¢

3¢4¢ after fees

No99%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 3¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Rogers, then the market resolves to Yes.