Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? — Rafael Grossi

27% chance

Yes27%

Buy Yes36¢no fee

No73%

Buy No83¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $87.0K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $913

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes27%—36¢

36¢no fee

No74%—83¢

83¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 36¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representat…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026