TRADING OPEN

    Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

    Resolves Jan 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $541.9K

    +$440 (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    89¢

    No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    October

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 open
    #
    189¢89¢
    $398.6K+$440 24h
    ——
    28¢8¢
    $25.6K
    ——
    3
    —
    3¢3¢
    $12.9K
    -1¢—
    41¢1¢
    $28.4K
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
    89%
    89¢—
    2December
    8¢—
    3November
    3¢-1¢
    4October
    1¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 31, 2027

    ~103 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $541.9K

    Whale Activity

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