Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

    Before Oct 1, 2026

    Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?. Best Yes near 3¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 3¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 3¢ / No 98¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 8¢ / No 94¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Before Oct 1, 2026

    Volume

    $2.8M

    $31.7K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolved

    ~0 days left

    Category

    Politics

    3¢CHANCE OF YES3%97%
    Yes
    3¢
    Kalshi
    No
    94¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    3¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $2.7M
    $31.7K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    8¢
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $9.4K
    Trade on Polymarket

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 3¢: exit costs ~0.2¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolved
    Time Left0 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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