Science & Tech

    Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

    Anthropic leads by 2 pts · 15 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Anthropic#190%
    2. OpenAI#288%
    3. Xiaomi#357%
    #4 Google55%#5 Z AI27%+11 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $11.3K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    16
    kalshi1 venue · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Anthropic90%
    • OpenAI88%
    • Xiaomi57%
    • Google55%
    • Z AI27%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Anthropic24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. OpenAI24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Xiaomi24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Anthropic$0 vol90%▼ 4kalshi94¢95¢ after fees
    OpenAI$1.1K vol88%▼ 4kalshi91¢92¢ after fees
    Xiaomi$853 vol57%▼ 4kalshi62¢64¢ after fees
    Google$247 vol55%▼ 4kalshi59¢61¢ after fees
    Z AI$0 vol27%▼ 4kalshi31¢33¢ after fees
    xAI$0 vol17%▼ 4kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Alibaba$1.4K vol17%▼ 4kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Tencent$0 vol15%▼ 4kalshi19¢21¢ after fees
    DeepSeek$240 vol15%▼ 4kalshi19¢21¢ after fees
    Mistral$0 vol8%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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