Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Tencent

15% chance

Yes15%

Buy Yes19¢21¢ after fees

No85%

Buy No89¢90¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $0
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes15%—19¢

19¢21¢ after fees

No85%—89¢

89¢90¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 19¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Tencent has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026