Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — xAI

16% chance

Yes16%

Buy Yes21¢23¢ after fees

No84%

Buy No88¢89¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $0
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes16%—21¢

21¢23¢ after fees

No84%—88¢

88¢89¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If xAI (listed by Artificial Analysis as SpaceXAI) has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026