Where will it rain on November 14?

    Los Angeles and San Francisco are level · 12 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Los Angeles#1100%
    2. San Francisco#2100%
    3. Seattle#3100%
    Resolves
    Nov 28, 2026
    Volume
    $273.7K
    24h
    $244.6K
    Liquidity
    $1.3K
    Outcomes
    34
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 34 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Los Angeles100%
    • San Francisco100%
    • Seattle100%
    • Albuquerque100%
    • Oklahoma City89%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Pittsburgh24h
      ▲ 11¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. College Station24h
      ▲ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Dallas24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Los Angeles$50.6K vol100%——
    San Francisco$29.7K vol100%——
    Seattle$10.9K vol100%——
    Albuquerque$5.9K vol100%——
    Oklahoma City$11.1K vol89%—kalshi89¢90¢ after fees
    Dallas$12.8K vol84%▼ 6kalshi84¢85¢ after fees
    San Antonio$5.0K vol81%—kalshi82¢84¢ after fees
    Pittsburgh$15.9K vol81%▲ 11kalshi81¢83¢ after fees
    Austin$7.3K vol74%—kalshi74¢76¢ after fees
    College Station$11.1K vol62%▲ 9kalshi63¢65¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • New York City2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the total precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles in Nov 14, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Where will it rain on Nov 14?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches, and this market will resolve to "No". If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sat, November 28, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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