Where will it rain on November 14? — Dallas

85% chance · down 5 pts today

Yes85%▼ 5

Buy Yes85¢86¢ after fees

No15%▲ 5

Buy No16¢17¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 15, 2026
Volume: $13.4K
24h: $11.4K
Liquidity: $501

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 5¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes85%▼ 585¢88¢

85¢86¢ after fees

No15%▲ 516¢18¢

16¢17¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 85¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 88¢: exit costs ~0.53¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the total precipitation at CLIDFW in Dallas in Nov 14, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precip…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Where will it rain on November 14?
Resolves: Sun, November 15, 2026