Where will it rain on November 14? — San Francisco

28% chance

Yes28%

Buy Yes28¢30¢ after fees

No72%

Buy No74¢fee unknown

Resolves: Nov 15, 2026
Volume: $3.4K
24h: $2.3K
Liquidity: $166

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
5¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes28%—28¢30¢33¢

28¢30¢ after fees

No72%—73¢73¢74¢

74¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 28¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 30¢: exit costs ~1.05¢/contract

Polymarket USat 33¢: Fees unavailable

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the total precipitation at CLISFO in San Francisco in Nov 14, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Where will it rain on Nov 14?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Where will it rain on November 14?
Resolves: Sun, November 15, 2026