Science & Tech

    When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

    Before 2040 leads by 10 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before 2040#159%
    2. Before 2035#249%
    3. Before 2030#336%
    #4 Before 20271%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2039
    Volume
    $51.5K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    4
    kalshi1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before 204059%
    • Before 203549%
    • Before 203036%
    • Before 20271%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before 2040$3.0K vol59%▼ 1kalshi60¢62¢ after fees
    Before 2035$7.7K vol49%▼ 1kalshi50¢52¢ after fees
    Before 2030$19.2K vol36%▼ 2kalshi38¢40¢ after fees
    Before 2027$21.6K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sat, December 31, 2039
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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