when first useful quantum computer developed

    Before 2040

    when first useful quantum computer developed. Best Yes near 62¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 62¢ · Best No: 42¢ · 1 platform

    • Kalshi: Yes 62¢ / No 42¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Before 2040

    Volume

    $2.1K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2040

    ~4857 days left

    Category

    Culture

    62¢CHANCE OF YES60%40%
    Yes
    62¢
    Kalshi
    No
    42¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    62¢
    No
    42¢
    Vol
    $2.1K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 62¢: exit costs ~1.65¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2040
    Time Left4857 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

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