Science & Tech

    When will P vs NP be resolved?

    Before 2040 leads by 10 pts · 5 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before 2040#144%
    2. Before 2035#234%
    3. Before 2030#320%
    #4 Before 202913%#5 Before 20286%+1 more
    Resolves
    Jan 7, 2032
    Volume
    $27.2K
    24h
    $5.4K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshi1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before 204044%
    • Before 203534%
    • Before 203020%
    • Before 202913%
    • Before 20286%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before 202924h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Before 203524h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Before 203024h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before 2040$160 vol44%▼ 5kalshi45¢47¢ after fees
    Before 2035$73 vol34%▼ 7kalshi34¢36¢ after fees
    Before 2030$5.8K vol20%▼ 7kalshi22¢24¢ after fees
    Before 2029$3.1K vol13%▼ 8kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    Before 2028$16.1K vol6%—kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Before 2027$1.9K vol4%▼ 1kalshi5¢6¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, January 7, 2032
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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