When will P vs NP be resolved? — Before 2028

6% chance

Yes6%

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No94%

Buy No95¢96¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028
Volume: $16.5K
24h: $313

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes6%—6¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No95%—95¢

95¢96¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: When will P vs NP be resolved?
Resolves: Sat, January 1, 2028