Trump declares a national emergency by...?
Before Apr 1, 2027 leads by 14 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+
- Before Apr 1, 2027#1Before Apr 1, 202727%▼ 3
Before Jan 1, 2027#2Before Jan 1, 202713%- Before Dec 1, 2026#3Before Dec 1, 20266%▼ 2
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
- Volume
- $13.5K
- 24h
- $93
- Liquidity
- $5.1K
- Candidates
- 3
2 venues · 4 marketsWho’s winning
Top 3, each at its busiest venue- Before Apr 1, 202727%
- Before Jan 1, 202713%
- Before Dec 1, 20266%
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Signals
1 signal- Before Apr 1, 202724h▼ 3¢ in 24h
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Before Jan 1, 20272¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify. Renewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Fri, January 1, 2027
Compared across 2 venues