Trump declares a national emergency by...?

Trump declares a national emergency by...? — Before Dec 1, 2026

6% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes6%▼ 2

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No94%▲ 2

Buy No97¢98¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $3.0K
24h: $1
Liquidity: $2.4K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes6%▼ 27¢8¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No94%▲ 297¢96¢

97¢98¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0.29¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Trump declares a national emergency by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026