Trump declares a national emergency by...? — December 31

    13% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes13%▼ 1kalshiYes16¢17¢ after fees
    No87%▲ 1kalshiNo91¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $9.8K
    24h
    $92
    Liquidity
    $2.8K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes13%▼ 1kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 1kalshi91¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 14¢: exit costs ~0.48¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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