OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

    Before Jan 1, 2028 leads by 39 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2028#148%
    2. Before Jan 1, 2027#29%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
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    24h
    $1.5K
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    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 2 markets

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    • Before Jan 1, 20279%
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    1. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

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    Before Jan 1, 2028$566.0K vol48%▼ 1kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$540.5K vol · 7¢ apart9%▼ 1kalshi15¢16¢ after fees

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    Yes price
    • Before Jan 1, 20277¢buy kalshi
    • Before Jan 1, 20283¢buy kalshi
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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birc…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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