OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? — December 31, 2026
8% chance · down 1 pts today
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Volume
- $540.4K
- 24h
- $256
- Liquidity
- $57.1K
Listed on 2 venuesChance over time
Yes price, by venuePolymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
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Signals
1 signal- Yes24h4¢ apart across venues
Every venue’s price
2 venuesEach share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.
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Fee Impact at These Prices
Polymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0.31¢/contractKalshiat 12¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birc…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Thu, December 31, 2026
Compared across 2 venuesIn the news
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