OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? — December 31, 2027

    49% chance

    Yes49%kalshiYes55¢57¢ after fees
    No51%kalshiNo51¢53¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $565.2K
    24h
    $458
    Liquidity
    $15.2K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes49%—kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    No51%—kalshi51¢53¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 50¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 55¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birc…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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