NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

    NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? Live odds across 8 markets: National 0-5% at 75¢. Resolves Oct 31, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 31, 2027

    NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $627

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    44¢

    National 0-5%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -37¢

    Labour 15%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #
    144¢75¢
    $92
    -4¢
    239¢65¢
    $69
    -11¢
    333¢54¢
    $82
    -15¢
    431¢55¢
    $69
    -2¢
    530¢55¢
    $62
    -37¢
    629¢49¢
    $69
    -13¢
    726¢47¢
    $76
    -22¢
    824¢42¢
    $109
    -10¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1National 0-5%
    44%
    44¢-4¢
    2Labour 5-10%
    39%
    39¢-11¢
    3Labour 0-5%
    33%
    33¢-15¢
    4National 10%+
    31%
    31¢-2¢
    5Labour 15%+
    30%
    30¢-37¢
    6Labour 10-15%
    29%
    29¢-13¢
    7National 5-10%
    26%
    26¢-22¢
    8Another Party Wins
    24%
    24¢-10¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2027

    ~503 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $627

    Whale Activity

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