NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

    Labour 0-5% leads by 90 pts

    1. Labour 0-5%#194%
    2. National 0-5%#24%
    3. Labour 10-15%#32%
    Resolves
    Oct 31, 2027
    Volume
    $65.9K
    24h
    $1.8K
    Candidates
    8
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Labour 0-5%94%
    • National 0-5%4%
    • Labour 10-15%2%
    • National 5-10%1%
    • Labour 5-10%<1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Labour 0-5%24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Labour 0-5%$19.5K vol94%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US94¢95¢ after fees
    National 0-5%$16.0K vol4%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Labour 10-15%$7.3K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢4¢ after fees
    National 5-10%$2.8K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    Labour 5-10%$7.4K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Another Party Wins$1.0K vol<1%——
    Labour 15%+$3.0K vol<1%——
    National 10%+$8.9K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, October 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    More in International

    All International