NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? — Labour 10-15%

    2% chance

    Yes2%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes3¢4¢ after fees
    No98%—
    Resolves
    Oct 31, 2027
    Volume
    $7.3K
    24h
    $8
    Liquidity
    $13.8K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢4¢ after fees
    No98%——

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0.13¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of party list votes in this election. The “mar…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, October 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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