NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? — National 10%+

    <1% chance

    Yes<1%—
    No>99%—
    Resolves
    Oct 31, 2027
    Volume
    $8.9K
    24h
    $8
    Liquidity
    $13.5K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    No venue is quoting this market right now.

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of party list votes in this election. The “mar…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, October 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics