Weather

    November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

    1st hottest leads by 96 pts

    1. 1st hottest#198%
    2. 2nd hottest#22%
    3. 3rd hottest#31%
    #4 4th or lower1%
    Resolves
    Dec 29, 2026
    Volume
    $12.8K
    24h
    $257
    Outcomes
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 1st hottest98%
    • 2nd hottest2%
    • 3rd hottest1%
    • 4th or lower1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    1st hottest$5.6K vol98%——
    2nd hottest$5.3K vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee
    3rd hottest$1.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    4th or lower$863 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, December 29, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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