November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? — 4th or lower

1% chance

Yes1%

Buy Yes1¢no fee

No99%—

Resolves: Dec 29, 2026
Volume: $863
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes1%—1¢

1¢no fee

No99%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record. Note: If November 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Te…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
Resolves: Tue, December 29, 2026