November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? — 1st hottest

    98% chance

    Yes98%—
    No2%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo5¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 29, 2026
    Volume
    $5.6K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    No venue is quoting this market right now.

    Before you trade

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record. Note: If November 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Te…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, December 29, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Culture

    All Culture