Geopolitics

    Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

    November 9 and November 10 are level · 16 candidates at 5%+

    1. November 9#199%
    2. November 10#299%
    3. November 11#396%
    #4 November 1291%#5 November 2584%+12 more
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $75.3K
    24h
    $35.2K
    Candidates
    17
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 19 markets

    Who’s winning

    • November 999%
    • November 1099%
    • November 1196%
    • November 1291%
    • November 2584%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Claim offer 1 / 5

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. November 1224h
      ▲ 17¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. November 1124h
      ▲ 13¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. November 2724h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    November 9$6.3K vol99%——
    November 10$2.0K vol99%——
    November 11$2.4K vol96%▲ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US98¢no fee
    November 12$1.7K vol91%▲ 17Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢no fee
    November 25$828 vol84%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢no fee
    November 18$514 vol82%▲ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢no fee
    November 13$357 vol81%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US81¢no fee
    November 21$264 vol78%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US84¢no fee
    November 28$144 vol77%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US84¢no fee
    November 24$617 vol77%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US84¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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