Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? — November 18

82% chance

Yes82%

Buy Yes90¢no fee

No18%

Buy No27¢no fee

Resolves: Nov 18, 2026
Volume: $514
24h: $19
Liquidity: $898

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes82%—90¢

90¢no fee

No19%—27¢

27¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 90¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surf…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Resolves: Wed, November 18, 2026