How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

    How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? Live odds across 8 markets: 5-6 at 46¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    • 5-6: Yes 46¢ (polymarket)
    • <5: Yes 37¢ (polymarket)
    • 13-14: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 7-8: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 15-16: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 9-10: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 11-12: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • >16: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $512.9K

    +$668 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    46¢

    5-6

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    5-6

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    5-6
    		46¢46¢
    $117.3K+$136 24h
    		-3¢—
    2
    <5
    		37¢37¢
    $102.7K+$107 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    11-12
    		2¢2¢
    $10.3K+$70 24h
    		——
    4
    >16
    		1¢1¢
    $14.6K+$70 24h
    		——
    5
    7-8
    		1¢1¢
    $161.6K+$70 24h
    		——
    6
    13-14
    		0¢0¢
    $11.0K+$75 24h
    		——
    7
    15-16
    		0¢0¢
    $31.9K+$70 24h
    		——
    8
    9-10
    		0¢0¢
    $63.4K+$70 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    15-6
    46%
    46¢-3¢
    2<5
    37%
    37¢+1¢
    311-12
    2¢—
    4>16
    1¢—
    57-8
    1¢—
    613-14
    0¢—
    715-16
    0¢—
    89-10
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~109 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $512.9K

    Whale Activity

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