How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — 5-6

23% chance

Yes23%

Buy Yes31¢32¢ after fees

No77%

Buy No85¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $122.0K
24h: $77
Liquidity: $3.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes23%—31¢

31¢32¢ after fees

No77%—85¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 31¢: exit costs ~0.86¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an exp…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026