Trump

    How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?

    1 leads by 5 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. 1#137%
    2. 2#232%
    3. 0#320%
    #4 3+14%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $21.6K
    24h
    $451
    Candidates
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 137%
    • 232%
    • 020%
    • 3+14%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    1$6.1K vol37%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US37¢38¢ after fees
    2$3.8K vol32%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US32¢33¢ after fees
    0$9.3K vol20%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    3+$2.5K vol14%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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