How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?

How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? — 1

37% chance

Yes37%

Buy Yes37¢38¢ after fees

No63%

Buy No64¢65¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $6.1K
24h: $48
Liquidity: $42.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes37%—37¢

37¢38¢ after fees

No64%—64¢

64¢65¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 37¢: exit costs ~0.93¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct United States federal government shutdowns due to a lapse in appropriations that go into effect between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typicall…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027