How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?

How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? — 3+

15% chance

Yes15%

Buy Yes15¢16¢ after fees

No85%

Buy No86¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $2.5K
24h: $306
Liquidity: $10.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes15%—15¢

15¢16¢ after fees

No86%—86¢

86¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0.51¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct United States federal government shutdowns due to a lapse in appropriations that go into effect between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typicall…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027