GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31 leads by 2 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+
- December 31#1December 3199%
- December 15#2December 1597%▼ 1
- November 30#3November 3092%▲ 1
- Resolves
- Jan 14, 2027
- Volume
- $1.1M
- 24h
- $67.6K
- Liquidity
- $93.9K
- Outcomes
- 7
2 venues · 20 marketsWho’s winning
Top 5, each at its busiest venue- December 3199%
- December 1597%
- November 3092%
- By November 16, 202631%
- November 153%
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Signals
2 signals- November 1524h▼ 56¢ in 24h
- November 3024h8¢ apart across venues
Every outcome, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- November 308¢buy
- Polymarket US
- Polymarket (global)
- Consensus
Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Thu, January 14, 2027
Compared across 2 venues