GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? — December 31

    99% chance

    Yes99%Polymarket USYes95¢fee unknown
    No1%Polymarket USNo6¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $191.2K
    24h
    $2.9K
    Liquidity
    $15.8K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes99%—Polymarket US95¢fee unknown
    No1%—Polymarket US6¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 95¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0.04¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    GPT Astra 6.1 Released?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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