GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? — November 15

    5% chance

    Yes5%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes5¢5¢ after fees
    No95%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo96¢96¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 15, 2026
    Volume
    $198.7K
    24h
    $8.9K
    Liquidity
    $8.7K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    No95%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US96¢96¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.18¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, November 15, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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