Global Elections

    Gambia Presidential Election Winner

    Adama Barrow leads by 62 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Adama Barrow#179%
    2. Ousainou Darboe#217%
    3. Talib Bensouda#32%
    #4 Bakary K. Badjie2%#5 Mama Kandeh1%+2 more
    Resolves
    Dec 5, 2026
    Volume
    $36.8K
    24h
    $2
    Liquidity
    $37.3K
    Candidates
    7
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Adama Barrow79%
    • Ousainou Darboe17%
    • Talib Bensouda2%
    • Bakary K. Badjie2%
    • Mama Kandeh1%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Adama Barrow24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Ousainou Darboe24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Adama Barrow$19.7K vol79%▼ 4kalshi81¢83¢ after fees
    Ousainou Darboe$11.7K vol17%▼ 3kalshi20¢22¢ after fees
    Talib Bensouda$2.6K vol2%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Bakary K. Badjie$470 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee
    Mama Kandeh$1.1K vol1%▼ 1kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Mohamed Al Amin Bah$395 vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    Essa Faal$867 vol<1%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Talib Bensouda3¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, December 5, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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