Gambia Presidential Election Winner — Ousainou Darboe

17% chance · down 3 pts today

Yes17%▼ 3

Buy Yes20¢22¢ after fees

No83%▲ 3

Buy No87¢88¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 5, 2026
Volume: $11.7K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $3.0K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 3¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes17%▼ 320¢20¢

20¢22¢ after fees

No83%▲ 387¢85¢

87¢88¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0.64¢/contract

Kalshiat 20¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Ousainou Darboe, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Gambia Presidential Election Winner
Resolves: Sat, December 5, 2026