Gambia Presidential Election Winner — Adama Barrow

79% chance · down 3 pts today

Yes79%▼ 3

Buy Yes81¢83¢ after fees

No21%▲ 3

Buy No25¢27¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 5, 2026
Volume: $19.7K
24h: $1
Liquidity: $11.8K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 3¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes79%▼ 381¢81¢

81¢83¢ after fees

No21%▲ 325¢24¢

25¢27¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 81¢: exit costs ~0.62¢/contract

Kalshiat 81¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Gambia Presidential Election Winner
Resolves: Sat, December 5, 2026