Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?

    June 30 leads by 17 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. June 30#191%
    2. December 31#274%
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $30.2K
    24h
    $241
    Outcomes
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • June 3091%
    • December 3174%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    June 30$11.7K vol91%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US91¢no fee
    December 31$18.5K vol74%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US74¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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